TCB – In-depth – [BUY +30%] – Is TCB past its peak?

We initiate our coverage on TCB with a BUY rating and a target price of VND43,700, implying a 30% upside buy using a residual approach (50%) and P/B method (50%). TTM PB is at trough of 0.7x and we believe it is worth of trading at 1.1x PB driven by earnings turnaround in 2024-25F. TCB growth is taking a breath, made worse by the corporate bond crisis and real estate market stagnation. Against the odds, we believe it is just a temporary period of trouble.

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